VCU
W-L: (10-10) PR = 94.2247Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 220 A UL Monroe SB (31-23, 94.6) 4- 4 220 H Charleston CA (27-27, 93.1) 2- 2 221 A Illinois B10 (27-27, 95.1) 3- 2 222 A Coastal Carolina SB (35-24, 95.5) 3- 6 225 A North Carolina ACC (54-14, 98.8) 3-13 227 A Virginia ACC (38-24, 96.1) 3- 5 228 A Virginia ACC (38-24, 96.1) 6- 7 301 H Virginia ACC (38-24, 96.1) 3- 5 303 A Omaha SM ( 3-15, 92.1) 9- 5 304 A South Dakota State SM ( 4-15, 90.6) 10- 4 318 H Xavier BE (27-30, 93.6) 8- 4 414 H Virginia ACC (38-24, 96.1) 6- 2 421 H Virginia Tech ACC (28-28, 95.3) 6- 8 428 A Old Dominion SB (28-25, 93.3) 6- 7 520 H Davidson A10 ( 1- 7, 90.0) 7- 4 522 A Rhode Island A10 ( 3-10, 90.3) 4- 5 523 A Rhode Island A10 ( 3-10, 90.3) 18-16 524 H Rhode Island A10 ( 3-10, 90.3) 9- 1 529 A North Carolina ACC (54-14, 98.8) 0- 8 530 H Tennessee SEC (33-26, 96.7) 5- 4 530 H Tennessee SEC (33-26, 96.7) 5- 4 531 A East Carolina AME (36-25, 96.7) 0-10
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
220 A UL Monroe 4- 4 0 -1 1.07
220 H Charleston 2- 2 0 2 -1.79
221 A Illinois 3- 2 1 -2 + 2.60
222 A Coastal Carolina 3- 6 -3 -2 -1.07
225 A North Carolina 3-13 -10 -5 -- -4.75
227 A Virginia 3- 5 -2 -3 0.55
228 A Virginia 6- 7 -1 -3 1.55
301 H Virginia 3- 5 -2 -1 -0.80
303 A Omaha 9- 5 4 1 + 2.58
304 A South Dakota State 10- 4 6 3 + 3.10
318 H Xavier 8- 4 4 1 + 2.69
414 H Virginia 6- 2 4 -1 ++ 5.20
421 H Virginia Tech 6- 8 -2 0 -1.61
428 A Old Dominion 6- 7 -1 0 -1.24
520 H Davidson 7- 4 3 5 -1.86
522 A Rhode Island 4- 5 -1 3 -- -4.30
523 A Rhode Island 18-16 2 3 -1.30
524 H Rhode Island 9- 1 8 5 + 3.35
529 A North Carolina 0- 8 -8 -5 - -2.75
530 H Tennessee 5- 4 1 -2 + 2.79
530 H Tennessee 5- 4 1 -2 + 2.79
531 A East Carolina 0-10 -10 -3 --- -6.81
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 531 A East Carolina 0-10 -10 -3 --- -6.81 225 A North Carolina 3-13 -10 -5 -- -4.75 522 A Rhode Island 4- 5 -1 3 -- -4.30 529 A North Carolina 0- 8 -8 -5 - -2.75 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 414 H Virginia 6- 2 4 -1 ++ 5.20 221 A Illinois 3- 2 1 -2 + 2.60 303 A Omaha 9- 5 4 1 + 2.58 304 A South Dakota State 10- 4 6 3 + 3.10 318 H Xavier 8- 4 4 1 + 2.69 524 H Rhode Island 9- 1 8 5 + 3.35 530 H Tennessee 5- 4 1 -2 + 2.79 530 H Tennessee 5- 4 1 -2 + 2.79 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A UL Monroe (31-23, 94.6) 4- 4 -5.28 13.14 0.68 1.31 0.00
3 H Charleston (27-27, 93.1) 2- 2 -6.79 11.64 -0.68 1.31 0.00
3 A Illinois (27-27, 95.1) 3- 2 -4.75 13.67 0.68 1.31 37.73
3 A Coastal Caroli (35-24, 95.5) 3- 6 -4.42 14.01 0.68 1.31 -2.46
3 A North Carolina (54-14, 98.8) 3-13 -1.10 17.32 0.68 1.31 -0.28
3 A Virginia (38-24, 96.1) 3- 5 -3.80 14.63 0.68 1.31 -2.05
3 A Virginia (38-24, 96.1) 6- 7 -3.80 14.63 0.68 1.31 -2.05
3 H Virginia (38-24, 96.1) 3- 5 -3.80 14.63 -0.68 1.31 -2.94
3 A Omaha ( 3-15, 92.1) 9- 5 -7.77 10.66 0.68 1.31 29.79
3 A South Dakota S ( 4-15, 90.6) 10- 4 -9.25 9.17 0.68 1.31 25.89
3 H Xavier (27-30, 93.6) 8- 4 -6.31 12.12 -0.68 1.31 30.09
3 H Virginia (38-24, 96.1) 6- 2 -3.80 14.63 -0.68 1.31 36.68
3 H Virginia Tech (28-28, 95.3) 6- 8 -4.61 13.82 -0.68 1.31 -3.47
3 A Old Dominion (28-25, 93.3) 6- 7 -6.59 11.84 0.68 1.31 -3.89
3 H Davidson ( 1- 7, 90.0) 7- 4 -9.86 8.57 -0.68 1.31 20.74
3 A Rhode Island ( 3-10, 90.3) 4- 5 -9.65 8.78 0.68 1.31 -5.90
3 A Rhode Island ( 3-10, 90.3) 18-16 -9.65 8.78 0.68 1.31 24.86
3 H Rhode Island ( 3-10, 90.3) 9- 1 -9.65 8.78 -0.68 1.31 21.30
3 A North Carolina (54-14, 98.8) 0- 8 -1.10 17.32 0.68 1.31 -0.28
3 H Tennessee (33-26, 96.7) 5- 4 -3.21 15.22 -0.68 1.31 38.23
3 H Tennessee (33-26, 96.7) 5- 4 -3.21 15.22 -0.68 1.31 38.23
3 A East Carolina (36-25, 96.7) 0-10 -3.16 15.26 0.68 1.31 -1.64
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278.58
|
winning pts = 303.5405 losing points = -24.9581
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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